Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.007828 0.008806 0.009876 0.011134 0.012578 0.014186 0.016118
2025-01-05 0.006509 0.007893 0.009541 0.011658 0.014324 0.017594 0.021941
2025-01-12 0.005419 0.006890 0.008739 0.011256 0.014627 0.019037 0.025324
2025-01-19 0.004685 0.006186 0.008155 0.010962 0.014916 0.020374 0.028625
2025-01-26 0.004224 0.005761 0.007855 0.010964 0.015545 0.022178 0.032757
2025-02-02 0.004002 0.005626 0.007917 0.011452 0.016888 0.025132 0.038984
2025-02-09 0.003663 0.005282 0.007634 0.011384 0.017366 0.026810 0.043417
2025-02-16 0.003421 0.005052 0.007488 0.011493 0.018109 0.028967 0.048927
2025-02-23 0.003149 0.004747 0.007194 0.011328 0.018371 0.030339 0.053241
2025-03-02 0.002980 0.004587 0.007106 0.011481 0.019172 0.032706 0.059698
2025-03-09 0.002784 0.004363 0.006895 0.011398 0.019543 0.034342 0.064995
2025-03-16 0.002533 0.004031 0.006475 0.010915 0.019138 0.034491 0.067339
2025-03-23 0.002375 0.003846 0.006300 0.010865 0.019563 0.036338 0.073659
2025-03-30 0.002322 0.003837 0.006425 0.011374 0.021115 0.040624 0.086051
2025-04-06 0.002133 0.003577 0.006086 0.010983 0.020856 0.041188 0.090184
2025-04-13 0.001978 0.003365 0.005817 0.010697 0.020772 0.042101 0.095291
2025-04-20 0.001879 0.003244 0.005702 0.010699 0.021279 0.044357 0.104084
2025-04-27 0.001849 0.003249 0.005819 0.011173 0.022845 0.049196 0.120429
2025-05-04 0.001754 0.003123 0.005680 0.011108 0.023218 0.051334 0.130070
2025-05-11 0.001687 0.003046 0.005625 0.011214 0.023989 0.054527 0.143314
2025-05-18 0.001595 0.002914 0.005455 0.011053 0.024120 0.056156 0.152390
2025-05-25 0.001544 0.002857 0.005427 0.011201 0.025002 0.059820 0.168395
2025-06-01 0.001472 0.002755 0.005303 0.011121 0.025317 0.062051 0.180464